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UK Forecasting
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How it works
The model uses regional and sectoral employment, output, construction, inflation and interest rate forecasts from Experian, coupled with IPD’s performance history to produce a baseline forecast for rental growth and yields for 50 UK real estae markets. It then simulates the cash-flow of the IPD Universe to produce an income return and total return forecast. Download a free sample here >>.
Summary of benefits:
- Allows users to run their own in-house alternative economic scenarios by amending growth forecasts - including assumptions for lease events to alter cash-flow projections
- Pre-populated with Experian economic forecasts
- Transparent Excel based tool allowing easy integration into other parts of user's investment process
- Seamless integration with other IPD / OCCAM products (Market Simulation, Portfolio Simulation, Cash Flow Model and Portfolio Optimiser)
- Updated four times a year
- Includes 8 major property types with detailed regional dimensions for main 3 sectors and sub-types
Variables forecast include: Total return, income return, capital growth, rental growth (nominal and real), yield impact and equivalent yield.
Regions forecast: Click here for a breakdown of the regions and sectors covered in the model >>
Forecast horizons: Current year through to five years ahead.
Current clients include: Brokers, Fund Managers, Derivatives Traders, Retail Lenders.
The IPD Econometric Model:
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Experian Economic Forecast:
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Example of Output (Rental Value Growth % pa)
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Example of Output (Equivalent Yield on Portfolio at Year End %)
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Contact us
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For more information on pricing and how to subscribe to IPD Impulse, contact webenquiries@ipd.com or call +44 (0)20 7336 4783.
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Download flyer sample
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Go
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Copyright © 2011 IPD
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